Run Like Hell: Colts Rushing Projections

July 4th to July 23rd is a tough time.  There is nothing going on.  Besides the stupid Brett Favre rumors, the NFL is inactive all over.  So when I was searching through the blogosphere to see if there was any breaking news on the Colts, I found a fantasy football site that predicted the rushing stats for the Colts.  Fantasy Football Views made some bold predictions, and some of them were very bold.  However, there are some mistakes I have found.  Here are their predictions:

Name Rush Yards TDs Fum Yard Var TD Var
Joseph Addai 270 1134 16 0 12 25
Dominic Rhodes 75 300 2 1 40 75
Mike Hart 50 198 1 1 30 90
Kenton Keith 24 100 1 1 25 70
Reggie Wayne 1 5 0 2 82 0
Peyton Manning 20 -5 2 3 10 50
Jim Sorgi 5 -5 0 0 10 0
Total 445 1727 22 8

No way Addai gets 16 touchdowns.  After the injury problems he had last year, there is no way he will be used in goal line situations as much.  That is what Mike Hart is for.  Hart will be used as a fullback-like back, similar to how James Mungro was used.  Hart will be used in the goal line and short yardage situations.

I don’t see Kenton Keith makng the roster, so take him off.  With his history with the law and his dropped pass in the endzone against San Diego have cost him a spot on the team.

Dominic Rhodes will get more than 75 carries.  He will be a major part of the team, like Addai was in 2006.  I see Rhodes having around 125 carries this season.

With all that said, here are my projections for what the Colts do in the running game:

Joseph Addai: 272 carries, 1243 yards, 7 touchdowns
Dominic Rhodes: 125 carries, 487 yards, 3 touchdowns
Mike Hart: 72 carries, 273 yards, 9 touchdowns
Peyton Manning: 9 carries, 10 yards, 2 touchdowns

Addai will make the Pro Bowl again, Rhodes will be a good change of pace back, and Hart will be a fantasy sleeper with all of the touchdowns.

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Tags: Dominic-rhodes Fantasy Football Joseph-addai Mike Hart

  • jrossharden

    Great article! I really hope Mike Hart steps through into a more defined role with the Colts. He is a prototypical third down back, and being third on the Colt’s depth chart does not work in his advantage. Maybe, in TC, he’ll show the coaches that he has just the right amount of HART to get in the game.

  • BetterD

    Why so  much hate towards KK, ok he got drunk, ran his mouth and didn’t leave when the cops told him too.  It’s not like he failed the NFL’s substance abuse policy, multiple times, and got suspended for 4 games.  Or got a DUI or got busted for beating his girl friend.
    That does sound familiar; who did that, oh that’s right, the DOM did it.  KK wasn’t the reason the colts got beat by a back up RB and QB; it was the colts defense, who couldn’t get close the QB, that lost that game.
    The Dom has never averaged 4.4 yards per carry, KK has.  
    So give KK a break, he’s not a thug, he dropped one key pass.  Colts fans put up with Vanderchoke after he missed the kick against miami in the playoffs.  He hung around for far to many years.
    Let KK have one more year to prove he belongs, he does have 4.28 speed (in the 40) he has the potential to score from any where on the field.

  • shake n bake

    Keith dropped a lot more than one pass. A catch rate of 57% is sub-par for a WR, for a RB who only has dumpoffs thrown his way it’s awful. Keith is a better runner than Dom at this point, but Keith doesn’t have the hands or blocking skills to fit with the Colts.

  • BetterD

    I didn’t know his pass catching rate was so low. That is a legitimate reason to want him gone.   His “history with the law” is one incident and minor one at that.  There must be some selective amnesia going on in the midwest, because it doesn’t compare to Dom’s history with the law.  I read that people want the thugs out of Indy but, Dom is welcomed back with open arms.  I don’t get it.

  • Sam

    Rhodes has had worse troubles with the law, but Dom was gone, and Keith was going to be in a fight for a position anyways.  It shows as much idiocy as Dom’s arrests.

  • Riesen

    I think addai will have more td’s, but yeah this is a sweet situation we have here. Think about it haha. We can keep joe fresh no problem. Maybe rhodes can return kicks again and take a little bit less of the carries, if not maybe mike hart iwll be a good returner.   I don’t know but i have a hankering that the colts not-so-special teams might be better this year.

    Thats been the biggest whole for years. THe special teams. I’d almost be willing to trade dwight freeney for devon hester lol. Not really, but it would be tempting.